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                  <text>Dominio científico: Coronavirus</text>
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                <text>Significant relaxation of SARS-CoV-2-targeted non-pharmaceutical interventions may result in profound mortality: A New York state modelling study.</text>
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                <text>Severe acute respiratory syndrome-coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) is the most significant global health crisis of the 21st century. The aim of this study was to develop a model to simulate the effect of undocumented infections, seasonal infectivity, immunity, and non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) on the transmission, morbidity, and mortality of SARS-CoV-2 in New York State (NYS) based on data collected between March 4 and April 28, 2020. Simulations predict that undocumented infections significantly contribute to infectivity, NPIs are effective in reducing morbidity and mortality, and relaxation &gt;50% of NPIs from initial lock-down levels may result in tens-of-thousands more deaths. Endemic infection is likely to occur in the absence of sustained immunity. As a result, until an effective vaccine or other effective pharmaceutical intervention is developed, the risks of significantly reducing NPIs should be carefully considered. This study employs modelling to simulate fundamental characteristics of SARS-CoV-2 transmission, which can help policymakers navigate combating this virus in the coming years.</text>
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                <text>Korean Society of Epidemiology</text>
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                <text>What after? Essays on the expected consequences of the COVID-19 pandemics on the global and Russian economics and population</text>
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                <text>Irina E. Kalabikhina</text>
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                <text>covid-19, Pandemic, crisis, POPULATION, economics</text>
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                <text>Economic theory. Demography</text>
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                  <text>Dominio científico: Coronavirus</text>
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                <text>The COVID-19 Pandemic and Its Implications for Rural Economies</text>
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                <text>Jeremy Phillipson, Matthew Gorton, Roger Turner, Mark Shucksmith, Katie Aitken-McDermott, Francisco Areal, Paul Cowie, Carmen Hubbard, Sara Maioli, Ruth McAreavey, Diogo Souza Monteiro, Robert Newbery, Luca Panzone, Frances Rowe, Sally Shortall</text>
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            <description>An account of the resource</description>
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                <text>This paper presents a rapid assessment of current and likely future impacts of the COVID-19 outbreak on rural economies given their socio-economic characteristics. Drawing principally on current evidence for the UK, as well as lessons from the 2001 Foot and Mouth Disease outbreak and the 2007/8 financial crises, it outlines the likely key demand and supply effects, paying attention to the situation for agriculture as well as discussing the implications for rural communities. A distinction is made between the effects on businesses offering goods and services for out-of-home as opposed to in-home consumption. Gendered dimensions are also noted as likely business and household strategies for coping and adaptation. The paper concludes with a brief mapping of a research agenda for studying the longer-term effects of COVID-19 on rural economies.</text>
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                <text>2020</text>
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            <name>Subject</name>
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                <text>covid-19, resilience, rural economies, rural businesses</text>
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            <name>Identifier</name>
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                <text>10.3390/su12103973</text>
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            <name>Source</name>
            <description>A related resource from which the described resource is derived</description>
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                <text>Biotemas</text>
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                <text>Universidade Federal de Santa Catarina</text>
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            <description>The spatial or temporal topic of the resource, the spatial applicability of the resource, or the jurisdiction under which the resource is relevant</description>
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                <text>Environmental effects of industries and plants, Renewable energy sources, Environmental sciences</text>
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              <description>An account of the resource</description>
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                  <text>Dominio científico: Coronavirus</text>
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                <text>Reconstructing and forecasting the COVID-19 epidemic in the United States using a 5-parameter logistic growth model</text>
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            <name>Creator</name>
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                <text>Xinguang Chen, Ding-Geng Chen, Jenny K. Chen</text>
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                <text>Abstract Background Many studies have modeled and predicted the spread of COVID-19 (coronavirus disease 2019) in the U.S. using data that begins with the first reported cases. However, the shortage of testing services to detect infected persons makes this approach subject to error due to its underdetection of early cases in the U.S. Our new approach overcomes this limitation and provides data supporting the public policy decisions intended to combat the spread of COVID-19 epidemic. Methods We used Centers for Disease Control and Prevention data documenting the daily new and cumulative cases of confirmed COVID-19 in the U.S. from January 22 to April 6, 2020, and reconstructed the epidemic using a 5-parameter logistic growth model. We fitted our model to data from a 2-week window (i.e., from March 21 to April 4, approximately one incubation period) during which large-scale testing was being conducted. With parameters obtained from this modeling, we reconstructed and predicted the growth of the epidemic and evaluated the extent and potential effects of underdetection. Results The data fit the model satisfactorily. The estimated daily growth rate was 16.8% overall with 95% CI: [15.95, 17.76%], suggesting a doubling period of 4 days. Based on the modeling result, the tipping point at which new cases will begin to decline will be on April 7th, 2020, with a peak of 32,860 new cases on that day. By the end of the epidemic, at least 792,548 (95% CI: [789,162, 795,934]) will be infected in the U.S. Based on our model, a total of 12,029 cases were not detected between January 22 (when the first case was detected in the U.S.) and April 4. Conclusions Our findings demonstrate the utility of a 5-parameter logistic growth model with reliable data that comes from a specified period during which governmental interventions were appropriately implemented. Beyond informing public health decision-making, our model adds a tool for more faithfully capturing the spread of the COVID-19 epidemic.</text>
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                <text>covid-19, epidemics, prediction, disease dynamics, logistic growth model, population-based model</text>
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                <text>10.1186/s41256-020-00152-5</text>
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                <text>Epidemiology and Health</text>
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                <text>Korean Society of Epidemiology</text>
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                <text>Public aspects of medicine</text>
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                <text>BackgroundThe pandemic of Corona Virus (COVID-19) hit India recently; and the associated uncertainty is increasingly testing psychological resilience of the masses. When the global focus has mostly been on testing, finding a cure and preventing transmission; people are going through a myriad of psychological problems in adjusting to the current lifestyles and fear of the disease. Since there is a severe dearth of researches on this issue, we decided to conduct an online survey to evaluate its psychological impact.MethodsFrom 26th to 29th March an online survey (FEEL-COVID) was conducted using principles of snowballing, and by invitation through text messages to participate. The survey collected data on socio-demographic and clinical variables related to COVID-19 (based on the current knowledge); along with measuring psychological impact with the help of Impact of Event-revised (IES-R) scale.ResultsThere were a total of 1106 responses from around 64 cities in the country. Out of these 453 responses had at least one item missing; and were excluded from the analysis. The mean age of the respondents was around 41 years with a male female ratio of 3:1 and around 22% respondents were health care professionals. Overall approximately one third of respondents had significant psychological impact (IES-R score &gt; 24). Higher psychological impact was predicted with younger age, female gender and comorbid physical illness. Presence of physical symptoms and contact history predicted higher psychological impact, but did not reach statistical significance.ConclusionDuring the initial stages of COVID-19 in India, almost one-third respondents had a significant psychological impact. This indicates a need for more systematic and longitudinal assessment of psychological needs of the population, which can help the government in formulating holistic interventions for affected individuals.</text>
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                <text>10.1371/journal.pone.0233874</text>
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                <text>Epidemiology and Health</text>
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                <text>Korean Society of Epidemiology</text>
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                  <text>Dominio científico: Coronavirus</text>
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                <text>The psychological distress and coping styles in the early stages of the 2019 coronavirus disease (COVID-19) epidemic in the general mainland Chinese population: A web-based survey.</text>
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                <text>Huiyao Wang, Qian Xia, Zhenzhen Xiong, Zhixiong Li, Weiyi Xiang, Yiwen Yuan, Yaya Liu, Zhe Li</text>
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                <text>As the epidemic outbreak of 2019 coronavirus disease (COVID-19), general population may experience psychological distress. Evidence has suggested that negative coping styles may be related to subsequent mental illness. Therefore, we investigate the general population's psychological distress and coping styles in the early stages of the COVID-19 outbreak. A cross-sectional battery of surveys was conducted from February 1-4, 2020. The Kessler 6 psychological distress scale, the simplified coping style questionnaire and a general information questionnaire were administered on-line to a convenience sample of 1599 in China. A multiple linear regression analysis was performed to identify the influence factors of psychological distress. General population's psychological distress were significant differences based on age, marriage, epidemic contact characteristics, concern with media reports, and perceived impacts of the epidemic outbreak (all p</text>
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                <text>10.1371/journal.pone.0233410</text>
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                <text>Epidemiology and Health</text>
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                <text>Korean Society of Epidemiology</text>
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            <element elementId="50">
              <name>Title</name>
              <description>A name given to the resource</description>
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                  <text>Coronavirus</text>
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              <name>Description</name>
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                  <text>Dominio científico: Coronavirus</text>
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      <name>Text</name>
      <description>A resource consisting primarily of words for reading. Examples include books, letters, dissertations, poems, newspapers, articles, archives of mailing lists. Note that facsimiles or images of texts are still of the genre Text.</description>
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          <element elementId="50">
            <name>Title</name>
            <description>A name given to the resource</description>
            <elementTextContainer>
              <elementText elementTextId="45072">
                <text>Complicated Grief: What to Expect After the Coronavirus Pandemic</text>
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            <description>An entity primarily responsible for making the resource</description>
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              <elementText elementTextId="45073">
                <text>Claudia Carmassi, Liliana Dell'Osso, Barbara Carpita, Camilla Gesi, Giancarlo Cerveri, Ivan Mirko Cremone</text>
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            <description>An account of the resource</description>
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              <elementText elementTextId="45074">
                <text>The COVID-19 pandemic is one of the worst public health crises in a century, with an expected amount of deaths of several million worldwide and an even bigger number of bereaved people left behind. Although the consequences of this crisis are still unknown, a significant number of bereaved people will arguably develop Complicated Grief (CG) in the aftermath of this emergency. If the current pandemic is unprecedented, the grief following the coronavirus outbreak is likely to share features with grief related to natural disasters and after Intensive Care Unit (ICU) treatment. The aim of this paper is to review the most prominent literature on CG after natural disasters, as well as after diseases requiring ICU treatment. This body of evidence may be useful for helping bereaved people during the acute phase of the COVID-19 pandemic and for drawing clinical attention to people at risk for CG.</text>
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            <description>A point or period of time associated with an event in the lifecycle of the resource</description>
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              <elementText elementTextId="45075">
                <text>2020</text>
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            <description>The topic of the resource</description>
            <elementTextContainer>
              <elementText elementTextId="45076">
                <text>covid-19, Pandemic, bereavement, natural disaster, ICU treatment, complicated grief</text>
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              <elementText elementTextId="45077">
                <text>10.3389/fpsyt.2020.00489</text>
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            <description>A related resource from which the described resource is derived</description>
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              <elementText elementTextId="45078">
                <text>Epidemiology and Health</text>
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            <name>Publisher</name>
            <description>An entity responsible for making the resource available</description>
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              <elementText elementTextId="45079">
                <text>Korean Society of Epidemiology</text>
              </elementText>
            </elementTextContainer>
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            <name>Coverage</name>
            <description>The spatial or temporal topic of the resource, the spatial applicability of the resource, or the jurisdiction under which the resource is relevant</description>
            <elementTextContainer>
              <elementText elementTextId="45080">
                <text>Psychiatry</text>
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            </elementTextContainer>
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        <src>https://www.socictopen.socict.org/files/original/dba7849469f96203fbc760acc7f434cb.pdf</src>
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              <name>Title</name>
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                  <text>Coronavirus</text>
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                  <text>Dominio científico: Coronavirus</text>
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      <name>Text</name>
      <description>A resource consisting primarily of words for reading. Examples include books, letters, dissertations, poems, newspapers, articles, archives of mailing lists. Note that facsimiles or images of texts are still of the genre Text.</description>
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      <elementSet elementSetId="1">
        <name>Dublin Core</name>
        <description>The Dublin Core metadata element set is common to all Omeka records, including items, files, and collections. For more information see, http://dublincore.org/documents/dces/.</description>
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          <element elementId="50">
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            <description>A name given to the resource</description>
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              <elementText elementTextId="45081">
                <text>Increased Risk of Acquisition of New Delhi Metallo-Beta-Lactamase-Producing Carbapenem-Resistant Enterobacterales (NDM-CRE) among a Cohort of COVID-19 Patients in a Teaching Hospital in Tuscany, Italy</text>
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              <elementText elementTextId="45082">
                <text>Andrea  Davide Porretta, Angelo Baggiani, Guglielmo Arzilli, Virginia Casigliani, Tommaso Mariotti, Francesco Mariottini, Giuditta Scardina, Daniele Sironi, Michele Totaro, Simona Barnini, Gaetano  Pierpaolo Privitera</text>
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            <description>An account of the resource</description>
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              <elementText elementTextId="45083">
                <text>We describe the epidemiology of New Delhi Metallo-Beta-Lactamase-Producing Carbapenem-Resistant Enterobacterales (NDM-CRE) colonization/infection in a cohort of COVID-19 patients in an Italian teaching hospital. These patients had an increased risk of NDM-CRE acquisition versus the usual patients (75.9 vs. 25.3 cases/10,000 patient days). The co-infection significantly increased the duration of hospital stay (32.9 vs. 15.8 days).</text>
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                <text>2020</text>
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            <name>Subject</name>
            <description>The topic of the resource</description>
            <elementTextContainer>
              <elementText elementTextId="45085">
                <text>surveillance, covid-19, New Delhi metallo-beta-lactamase, health care related infections</text>
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              <elementText elementTextId="45086">
                <text>10.3390/pathogens9080635</text>
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              <elementText elementTextId="45087">
                <text>Biotemas</text>
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              <elementText elementTextId="45088">
                <text>Universidade Federal de Santa Catarina</text>
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            <description>The spatial or temporal topic of the resource, the spatial applicability of the resource, or the jurisdiction under which the resource is relevant</description>
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                <text>Medicine</text>
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              <name>Title</name>
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                  <text>Dominio científico: Coronavirus</text>
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                <text>Open Science in Times of Coronavirus: Introducing the Concept of Real-Time" Publication"</text>
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                <text>Alexandre Hocquet</text>
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                <text>Who doesn't have an opinion about hydroxychloroquine? The recent developments of the latest research in Marseilles on the potential of this antimalarial drug to reduce the viral load of SARS-CoV-2 have been heating up. Obviously, the current pandemic is a sudden and unprecedented health crisis. Unexpectedness and scale are turning the outbreak into widespread panic: science is summoned to find solutions as soon as possible. In a sense, the worldwide situation is a way of asking how fast can science go. The famed publication from Didier Raoult's group 2 allows us to highlight an evolution in peer review practices, and this trend allows us to question what it means to be open" in science."</text>
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                <text>10.13128/Substantia-937</text>
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                <text>Korean Society of Epidemiology</text>
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                <text>Chemistry, History (General) and history of Europe</text>
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                  <text>Dominio científico: Coronavirus</text>
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            <name>Title</name>
            <description>A name given to the resource</description>
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                <text>Societal and economic factors associated with COVID-19 indicate that developing countries could suffer the most</text>
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            <name>Creator</name>
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                <text>Alessandro Maria Selvitella, Kathleen Lois Foster</text>
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                <text>Most of the research related to the COVID-19 pandemic deals with the biological and epidemiological factors which have driven the spread of the coronavirus around the globe. In this paper, we analyse how societal and economic variates relate to the number of cases and deaths across countries, via machine learning methods. Our findings recommend focusing our attention on  developing  countries  where  the  healthcare  system might suffer the most.</text>
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                <text>2020</text>
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            <name>Subject</name>
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                <text>covid-19, LASSO, variable selection, socioeconomic determinants, explainability</text>
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                <text>Epidemiology and Health</text>
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                <text>Korean Society of Epidemiology</text>
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                <text>Social sciences (General)</text>
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