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                  <text>Coronavirus</text>
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                  <text>Dominio científico: Coronavirus</text>
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                <text>Forecasting the novel coronavirus COVID-19.</text>
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                <text>Fotios Petropoulos, Spyros Makridakis</text>
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                <text>What will be the global impact of the novel coronavirus (COVID-19)? Answering this question requires accurate forecasting the spread of confirmed cases as well as analysis of the number of deaths and recoveries. Forecasting, however, requires ample historical data. At the same time, no prediction is certain as the future rarely repeats itself in the same way as the past. Moreover, forecasts are influenced by the reliability of the data, vested interests, and what variables are being predicted. Also, psychological factors play a significant role in how people perceive and react to the danger from the disease and the fear that it may affect them personally. This paper introduces an objective approach to predicting the continuation of the COVID-19 using a simple, but powerful method to do so. Assuming that the data used is reliable and that the future will continue to follow the past pattern of the disease, our forecasts suggest a continuing increase in the confirmed COVID-19 cases with sizable associated uncertainty. The risks are far from symmetric as underestimating its spread like a pandemic and not doing enough to contain it is much more severe than overspending and being over careful when it will not be needed. This paper describes the timeline of a live forecasting exercise with massive potential implications for planning and decision making and provides objective forecasts for the confirmed cases of COVID-19.</text>
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                <text>DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0231236</text>
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                <text>PLoS ONE</text>
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                  <text>Dominio científico: Coronavirus</text>
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                <text>Forecasting the Spread of COVID-19 in Kuwait Using Compartmental and Logistic Regression Models</text>
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                <text>Abdulla I. Almazrouee, Saleh N. Alhajeri, Abdullah  M. Almeshal, Mohammad  R. Alenizi</text>
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                <text>The state of Kuwait is facing a substantial challenge in responding to the spread of the novel coronavirus 2019 (COVID-19). The government’s decision to repatriate stranded citizens back to Kuwait from various COVID-19 epicenters has generated a great concern. It has heightened the need for prediction models to estimate the epidemic size. Mathematical modeling plays a pivotal role in predicting the spread of infectious diseases to enable policymakers to implement various health and safety measures to contain the spread. This research presents a forecast of the COVID-19 epidemic size in Kuwait based on the confirmed data. Deterministic and stochastic modeling approaches were used to estimate the size of COVID-19 spread in Kuwait and determine its ending phase. In addition, various simulation scenarios were conducted to demonstrate the effectiveness of nonpharmaceutical intervention measures, particularly with time-varying infection rates and individual contact numbers. Results indicate that, with data until 19 April 2020 and before the repatriation plan, the estimated reproduction number in Kuwait is 2.2. It also confirms the efficiency of the containment measures of the state of Kuwait to control the spread even after the repatriation plan. The results show that a high contact rate among the population implies that the epidemic peak value is yet to be reached and that more strict intervention measures must be incorporated</text>
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                <text>forecasting, mathematical modeling, compartmental models, COVID-19, stochastic SIR</text>
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                <text>DOI: 10.3390/app10103402</text>
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                <text>Biology (General), Technology, Physics, Chemistry, Engineering (General). Civil engineering (General)</text>
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                <text>Oscar Claveria</text>
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                <text>In a context of growing uncertainty caused by the COVID-19 pandemic, the opinion of businesses and consumers about the expected development of the main variables that affect their activity becomes essential for economic forecasting. In this paper, we review the research carried out in this field, placing special emphasis on the recent lines of work focused on the exploitation of the predictive content of economic tendency surveys. The study concludes with an evaluation of the forecasting performance of quarterly unemployment expectations for the euro area, which are obtained by means of machine learning methods. The analysis reveals the potential of new analytical techniques for the analysis of business and consumer surveys for economic forecasting.</text>
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                <text>2021</text>
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                <text>10.3390/forecast3010008</text>
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                <text>Epidemiology and Health</text>
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                <text>Korean Society of Epidemiology</text>
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                <text>FOREIGN POLICY IMPERATIVES FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF THE VISEGRAD GROUP AND UKRAINE</text>
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                <text>Vitalii Koltsov, Yuliia Lomzhets</text>
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                <text>The article is devoted to the analysis of the main stages of creation and development of the Visegrad Group as a regional grouping, which is successfully developing when being a member of NATO and the European Union. This kind of research is especially relevant in connection with the exacerbation of the economic crisis due to the COVID-19 pandemic. The purpose of the research is to analyze the strategic stages of creation and development of various cooperative aspects of the Visegrad countries; such a format of interaction has not lost its relevance after accession to the European Union. Analytical separation of periodization of the stages of formation, identification of problems and solutions faced by the Visegrad group’s countries is important for creating a modern economic and political worldview of cooperation and indentifying the main areas of cooperation in Europe. Based on the use of documents, including protocols and declarations as a result of meetings at various levels within the Visegrad Group, the specific stages of its development and interaction with Ukraine in a wide range of components that are the essence of Euro-Atlantic integration are analyzed and identified. Specific examples illustrate that Ukraine has always been in the field of key interests of the Visegrad Four, getting effective assistance and support in various forms from it. There have been identified not only practical issues of regional cooperation and security, but also some aspects of the value and civilization dimension. The member countries of the Visegrad Group, having initiated the format of cooperation “V4 + Ukraine”, took an active part in the most important processes that Ukraine went through on its way. The assumption is proved that the experience of the Visegrad countries is relevant and useful for Ukraine on the way to the realization of its Euro-Atlantic integration aspirations. Despite the difficulties within the European Union, between Ukraine and some of the signatories of the 1991 Visegrad Declaration, cooperation with Poland, the Czech Republic, Slovakia and Hungary is the most effective communication platform for intensifying a broad dialogue between Ukraine and the European Union.</text>
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                <text>Ukraine, integration, NATO, the European Union (EU), the Visegrad Group, the visegrad four (v4)</text>
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                <text>10.30525/2256-0742/2020-6-4-81-89</text>
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                <text>Baltic Journal of Economic Studies</text>
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                <text>Izdevnieciba “Baltija Publishing”</text>
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                <text>Economic growth, development, planning</text>
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                <text>Forensic evaluation of two nucleic acid extraction systems and validation of a RT-qPCR protocol for identification of SARS-CoV-2 in post-mortem nasopharyngeal swabs.</text>
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                <text>The COVID-19 outbreak has represented a challenge for the international scientific community and particularly for forensic sciences. The lack of Coronavirus post-mortem testing led the National Institute of Toxicology and Forensic Sciences (INTCF) from Spain to verify the performance and utility of a quantitative reverse transcription PCR (RT-qPCR) clinical diagnosis protocol for SARS-CoV-2 detection (TaqPath™ COVID-19 CE-IVD RT-PCR Kit), to shed light on the cause of death (COD) in potentially COVID-19 cases in judicial autopsies. Two different RNA extraction methods were also tested (EZ1® DSP Virus Kit on the EZ1® Advanced XL robot versus MagMAX™ Viral/Pathogen Nucleic Acid Isolation Kit) regarding extraction efficiency, precision and contamination. RT-qPCR was evaluated for precision, specificity, limit of detection and concordance. Both the automated and the manual RNA extraction procedures showed good efficiency, but the automated virus extraction by bio-robot produced more reproducible results than the manual extraction. The SARS-CoV-2 RT-qPCR assay showed high sensitivity with a detection limit up to 10 copies/reaction and high specificity, as no cross-reactivity was detected between any of the 12 different RNA viruses tested, including three types of coronaviruses (SARS-CoV, NL63 and 229E). Reproducibility and repeatability of the studied method as well as concordance with other SARS-CoV-2 molecular detection protocols were also demonstrated.</text>
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                <text>Daniel Barragán Terán, Lina Muñoz Ávila</text>
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                <text>Colombia y Ecuador son ricos en recursos naturales y particularmente cuentan con grandes áreas cubiertas de bosques. Gran parte de estos territorios sirve de hábitat de comunidades campesinas y étnicas, prestan múltiples servicios ecosistémicos y juegan un papel determinante en la lucha contra el cambio climático. Dicha riqueza se contrasta con altas cifras de deforestación y degradación de los suelos, generadas por factores como la tala ilegal, la expansión de la frontera agrícola y ganadera, la minería, entre otros.Muchas comunidades rurales basan sus economías en la comercialización de productos de flora y fauna silvestre, maderables y no maderables. Lograr el balance entre la conservación y el aprovechamiento sostenible de los recursos forestales es un reto de enormes magnitudes ambos países. El presente artículo plantea que la garantía de acceso a la información, a la participación pública y a la justicia ambiental en asuntos forestales, fortalece la gobernanza de los bosques y genera beneficios económicos, sociales y ambientales, para el Estado, el sector privado y las comunidades. Incorporar a los diferentes actores de la cadena forestal en la gestión y administración de los bosques contribuirá a reducir el número de conflictos ambientales de este sector en Colombia y Ecuador.</text>
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                <text>Revista de Derecho Ambiental</text>
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                <text>Universidad de Chile</text>
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                <text>Environmental law</text>
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                <text>&lt;a href="https://revistaderechoambiental.uchile.cl/index.php/RDA/article/view/49747" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener"&gt;https://revistaderechoambiental.uchile.cl/index.php/RDA/article/view/49747&lt;/a&gt;</text>
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                  <text>Agricultura sostenible</text>
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                  <text>Dominio científico: Agricultura sostenible</text>
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                <text>Forestación de bosques en sabanas de la altillanura colombiana: relevancia de las condiciones ambientales para el establecimiento de plántulas</text>
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                <text>Pablo R. Stevenson, Mónica A. Ramírez, Luisa F. Casas, Francisco Henao-Díaz</text>
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                <text>Una forma de contrarrestar el cambio climático es la generación de bosques con alta capacidad de almacenamiento de carbono. En este trabajo se reportan los resultados de una iniciativa de reforestación de bosque en sabanas de la rserva Tomogrande. Se crearon barreras contra el fuego en seis áreas: dos inundables y dos no inundables, para sembrar plántulas de bosques de la Orinoquia, y manteniendo dos más como control sin adición de plántulas. De 200 plántulas sembradas en sabanas no inundables, únicamente el 17 % de ellas sobrevivieron por más de dos años (33 % para las especies de bosques aledaños y 12 % para las de otros lugares de la Orinoquia). Ninguna de las 182 plántulas trasplantadas a zonas inundables sobrevivió por más de dos años. La principal causa de mortalidad en sabanas bien drenadas fue el marchitamiento. Se concluye que a pesar de que la ausencia de fuego puede ayudar al establecimiento de árboles, las condiciones climáticas y lumínicas de la sabana disminuyen las probabilidades de que las plantas de bosque se establezcan y las que logran mayor probabilidad de supervivencia son las especies que viven en los bosques de galería aledaños (especialmente en bordes de bosque).</text>
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                <text>Barreras de establecimiento, Bosques de galería en Colombia, Sabanas inundables, supervivencia de plántulas</text>
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                <text>10.21068/bc.v18i1 Sup.597</text>
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                <text>Biota Colombiana</text>
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                <text>Instituto de Investigación de Recursos Biológicos Alexander von Humboldt</text>
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                <text>Biology (General)</text>
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                <text>&lt;a href="http://revistas.humboldt.org.co/index.php/biota/article/view/597" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener"&gt;http://revistas.humboldt.org.co/index.php/biota/article/view/597&lt;/a&gt;</text>
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                  <text>Dominio científico: Coronavirus</text>
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                <text>Sally Kift</text>
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                <text>This Special Issue, devoted to micro-credentials and qualifications for future work and learning in a disrupted world, is a welcome and critically timed contribution to educational theorising and practice internationally. COVID-19 has accelerated Industry 4.0’s pervasive labour market disruption. Digitisation’s efficiencies have been rapidly embraced and broadly up-scaled as a matter of necessity. Many industries and professions have fast tracked digitalisation to transform pre-pandemic business models for current and future sustainability. We have seen all education sectors – Kindergarten to Year 12 (K-12), vocational education and training/ further education (VET/FE) and higher education (HE) – digitise and digitalise to varying degrees in their rapid move to emergency remote teaching (Hodges et al., 2020). Robust evaluation will be needed to assess the efficacy of that pedagogical triaging – our well-intentioned ‘panic-gogy’ (Kamenetz, 2020) – to inform the quality and fitness-for-future-purpose of that online pivot. In the meantime, HE’s students and graduates emerge from 2020 wanting to support and apply their studies in a challenging job market that was already weakening pre-pandemic and has now worsened (for example in the Australian context, Social Research Centre, 2020), especially for young people. If that was not enough, significant and underlying issues of climate change, reconciliation with First Nations, demographic change and globalisation continue to have implications for equal and equitable participation in the full range of life opportunities, including in meaningful paid work. In brief, the context for this Special Issue is an international grand challenge writ very large.</text>
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                <text>Epidemiology and Health</text>
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                <text>Foreword COVID 19 SPECIAL EDITION</text>
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                <text>Debra Kamanowitz</text>
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                <text>This foreword is an introduction to the COVID 19 special edition. It speaks to the articles submitted for this special edition, and the role of art at the time of this pandemic</text>
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                <text>coronavirus, Pandemic, Transformation, society, art, Collective Trauma</text>
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                <text>10.15212/CAET/2020/6/20</text>
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                <text>Creative Arts in Education and Therapy</text>
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                <text>Inspirees International B.V.</text>
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                <text>Special aspects of education, Visual arts</text>
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              <name>Title</name>
              <description>A name given to the resource</description>
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                  <text>Agricultura sostenible</text>
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              <name>Description</name>
              <description>An account of the resource</description>
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                  <text>Dominio científico: Agricultura sostenible</text>
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                <text>Formação de mudas de alface em bandejas preenchidas com diferentes substratos</text>
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                <text>Ernani Clarete da Silva, Roberto Luiz Queiroz</text>
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                <text>O presente trabalho foi conduzido no Setor de Olericultura e Experimentação da Universidade José do Rosário Vellano (UNIFENAS), no município de Alfenas - MG, Brasil, com o objetivo de avaliar a formação de mudas de alface em bandejas preenchidas com diferentes substratos. Os materiais usados para compor os substratos foram a cama de suínos com base de maravalha (M), cama de suínos com base de palha de café (C), húmus de minhoca (H) e os substratos comerciais Nutriorg® e Plantmax®. O uso puro destes substratos e várias misturas possibilitaram a formação de 18 substratos que constituiram os tratamentos. O arranjo experimental foi o delineamento inteiramente ao acaso, com três repetições. As mudas de alface formadas foram da cultivar Regina. A semeadura foi realizada em bandejas de isopor com 128 células, preenchidas com os substratos em estudo, sendo cada unidade experimental formada por 64 células. A condução do experimento foi dentro de uma estrutura de proteção de 85 m2, modelo capela, com cobertura de plástico transparente de 100 micra de espessura, aditivada contra raios ultravioletas. Aos 30 dias do semeio, foram colhidas dez plântulas, ao acaso, dentro de cada unidade experimental, para avaliar o número de folhas e a altura das plantas. Também foram avaliadas as massas fresca e seca da parte aérea e massas fresca e seca da raiz. Concluiu-se que o substrato T1 -M reuniu as melhores características para a formação de mudas de alface em bandejas de isopor de 128 células.</text>
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                <text>2013</text>
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            <name>Subject</name>
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                <text>Agricultura orgânica, Lactuca sativa L, substrato</text>
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            <name>Source</name>
            <description>A related resource from which the described resource is derived</description>
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              <elementText elementTextId="212852">
                <text>Bioscience Journal</text>
              </elementText>
            </elementTextContainer>
          </element>
          <element elementId="45">
            <name>Publisher</name>
            <description>An entity responsible for making the resource available</description>
            <elementTextContainer>
              <elementText elementTextId="212853">
                <text>Edufu</text>
              </elementText>
            </elementTextContainer>
          </element>
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            <name>Coverage</name>
            <description>The spatial or temporal topic of the resource, the spatial applicability of the resource, or the jurisdiction under which the resource is relevant</description>
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                <text>Agriculture, Biology (General)</text>
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            <name>Relation</name>
            <description>A related resource</description>
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              <elementText elementTextId="212855">
                <text>&lt;a href="https://seer.ufu.br/index.php/biosciencejournal/article/view/18099" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener"&gt;https://seer.ufu.br/index.php/biosciencejournal/article/view/18099&lt;/a&gt;</text>
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