https://www.socictopen.socict.org/files/original/c20baf4ce2dd89364a027a405a5902b1.pdf c4d6521594e9500e368af0c1f48fa511 Dublin Core The Dublin Core metadata element set is common to all Omeka records, including items, files, and collections. For more information see, http://dublincore.org/documents/dces/. Title A name given to the resource Coronavirus Description An account of the resource Dominio científico: Coronavirus Text A resource consisting primarily of words for reading. Examples include books, letters, dissertations, poems, newspapers, articles, archives of mailing lists. Note that facsimiles or images of texts are still of the genre Text. Dublin Core The Dublin Core metadata element set is common to all Omeka records, including items, files, and collections. For more information see, http://dublincore.org/documents/dces/. Title A name given to the resource Risk Assessment of Novel Coronavirus COVID-19 Outbreaks Outside China Creator An entity primarily responsible for making the resource Péter Boldog, Tamás Tekeli, Zsolt Vizi, Attila Dénes, Ferenc A. Bartha, Gergely Röst Description An account of the resource We developed a computational tool to assess the risks of novel coronavirus outbreaks outside of China. We estimate the dependence of the risk of a major outbreak in a country from imported cases on key parameters such as: (i) the evolution of the cumulative number of cases in mainland China outside the closed areas; (ii) the connectivity of the destination country with China, including baseline travel frequencies, the effect of travel restrictions, and the efficacy of entry screening at destination; and (iii) the efficacy of control measures in the destination country (expressed by the local reproduction number R loc ). We found that in countries with low connectivity to China but with relatively high R loc , the most beneficial control measure to reduce the risk of outbreaks is a further reduction in their importation number either by entry screening or travel restrictions. Countries with high connectivity but low R loc benefit the most from policies that further reduce R loc . Countries in the middle should consider a combination of such policies. Risk assessments were illustrated for selected groups of countries from America, Asia, and Europe. We investigated how their risks depend on those parameters, and how the risk is increasing in time as the number of cases in China is growing. Date A point or period of time associated with an event in the lifecycle of the resource 2020 Subject The topic of the resource novel coronavirus, Transmission, Risk assessment, interventions, travel, Outbreak, COVID-19, compartmental model, branching process Identifier An unambiguous reference to the resource within a given context DOI: 10.3390/jcm9020571 Source A related resource from which the described resource is derived Journal of Clinical Medicine Publisher An entity responsible for making the resource available MDPI AG Coverage The spatial or temporal topic of the resource, the spatial applicability of the resource, or the jurisdiction under which the resource is relevant Medicine Language A language of the resource EN