https://www.socictopen.socict.org/files/original/2164e51194264c2d75c51f09759835b1.pdf d009a38f3995a36e1ca10270c5413e10 Dublin Core The Dublin Core metadata element set is common to all Omeka records, including items, files, and collections. For more information see, http://dublincore.org/documents/dces/. Title A name given to the resource Agricultura sostenible Description An account of the resource Dominio científico: Agricultura sostenible Text A resource consisting primarily of words for reading. Examples include books, letters, dissertations, poems, newspapers, articles, archives of mailing lists. Note that facsimiles or images of texts are still of the genre Text. Dublin Core The Dublin Core metadata element set is common to all Omeka records, including items, files, and collections. For more information see, http://dublincore.org/documents/dces/. Title A name given to the resource A Ricardian Analysis of the Impact of Climate Change on South American Farms Análisis Ricardiano del Impacto del Cambio Climático en Predios Agrícolas en Sudamérica Creator An entity primarily responsible for making the resource S Niggol Seo, Robert Mendelsohn Description An account of the resource This study estimates the impact of climate change on South American agriculture taking into account farm adaptations. The study used a Ricardian analysis of 2300 farms to explore the effects of global warming on land values. In order to predict climate change impacts for this century, were examined climate change scenarios predicted by three Atmospheric Oceanic General Circulation Models (AOGCM): the Canadian Climate Center (CCC), the Centre for Climate System Research (CCSR), and the Parallel Climate Model (PCM) models. Several econometric specifications were tested, and five separate regressions were run: for all farms, small household farms, large commercial farms, rainfed farms, and irrigated farms. Farmland values will decrease as temperature increases, but also as rainfall increases except for the case of irrigated farms. Under the severe Canadian Climate Center (CCC) scenario, South American farmers will lose on average 14% of their income by the year 2020, 20% by 2060, and 53% by 2100, but half of these estimates under the less severe Centre for Climate System Research (CCSR) scenario. However, farms will lose only small amounts of income under the mild and wet Parallel Climate Model (PCM) scenario. Both small household farms and large commercial farms are highly vulnerable, but small farms are more vulnerable to warming, while large farms are more vulnerable to rainfall increases. Both rainfed and irrigated farms will lose their incomes by more than 50% by 2100, with slightly more severe damage to irrigated farms, but the subsample analysis treats irrigation as exogenousEn este estudio se estimó el impacto del cambio climático sobre la agricultura de Sudamérica considerando la adaptación de los predios. Usando el Método Ricardiano se realizó un análisis de 2300 predios para explorar los efectos sobre el valor de la tierra. Con el objeto de predecir los impactos del cambio climático en el presente siglo, se examinaron tres escenarios que predice el Modelo de Circulación General Atmosférico Oceánico (AOGCM): el escenario del Centro Canadiense del Clima (CCC), el del Centro para Investigación de Sistemas Climáticos (CCSR), y el del Modelo de Clima Paralelo (PCM). Se evaluaron varias especificaciones econométricas, y se realizaron cinco regresiones: todos los predios, predios pequeños, predios comerciales, predios de secano y predios con riego. El valor de la tierra agrícola disminuirá a medida que incrementa la temperatura y la lluvia, excepto en el caso de los predios regados. Bajo el severo escenario del CCC, los agricultores sudamericanos perderán 14% de sus ingresos el año 2020, 20% el año 2060, y 53 % el año 2100, y solo la mitad bajo el menos severo escenario de CCSR. Sin embargo, los predios perderán pequeños márgenes bajo el escenario suave y húmedo del PCM. Tanto los predios pequeños como los grandes son altamente vulnerables, pero los pequeños son más vulnerables mientras que los grandes son mas sensibles a un aumento de la precipitación. Los predios de secano y los de riego perderán más del 50% de sus ingresos el año 2100, con mayores daños los predios regados, pero la submuestra trata el riego como un factor exógeno Date A point or period of time associated with an event in the lifecycle of the resource 2008 Subject The topic of the resource Agricultura, Cambio climático, Método Ricardiano, Ricardian approach, South America, Sudamérica, agriculture, climate change Source A related resource from which the described resource is derived Chilean Journal of Agricultural Research Publisher An entity responsible for making the resource available Instituto de Investigaciones Agropecuarias, INIA Coverage The spatial or temporal topic of the resource, the spatial applicability of the resource, or the jurisdiction under which the resource is relevant Agriculture, Environmental sciences Relation A related resource <a href="http://www.scielo.cl/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&amp;pid=S0718-58392008000100007" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">http://www.scielo.cl/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&amp;pid=S0718-58392008000100007</a>