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            <name>Title</name>
            <description>A name given to the resource</description>
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                <text>Coronavirus</text>
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            <description>An account of the resource</description>
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                <text>Dominio científico: Coronavirus</text>
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          <name>Title</name>
          <description>A name given to the resource</description>
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              <text>CoVid-19 Pandemic Trend Modeling and Analysis to Support Resilience Decision-Making</text>
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              <text>Enrico Zio, Romney B Duffey</text>
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              <text>Policy decision-making for system resilience to a hazard requires the estimation and prediction of the trends of growth and decline of the impacts of the hazard. With focus on the recent worldwide spread of CoVid-19, we take the infection rate as the relevant metric whose trend of evolution to follow for verifying the effectiveness of the countermeasures applied. By comparison with the theories of growth and recovery in coupled socio-medical systems, we find that the data for many countries show infection rate trends that are exponential in form. In particular, the recovery trajectory is universal in trend and consistent with the learning theory, which allows for predictions useful in the assistance of decision-making of emergency recovery actions. The findings are validated by extensive data and comparison to medical pandemic models.</text>
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              <text>2020</text>
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          <name>Subject</name>
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              <text>transmission, covid-19, incubation, growth, theory, infection rates</text>
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          <name>Identifier</name>
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              <text>10.3390/biology9070156</text>
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              <text>Epidemiology and Health</text>
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          <name>Publisher</name>
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              <text>Korean Society of Epidemiology</text>
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          <name>Coverage</name>
          <description>The spatial or temporal topic of the resource, the spatial applicability of the resource, or the jurisdiction under which the resource is relevant</description>
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              <text>Biology (General)</text>
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