Stochastic Filtrate of Essential Workers to Reactivate the World Economy Safely

Stochastic Filtrate of Essential Workers to Reactivate the World Economy Safely

Elias Manjarrez, Roberto Olmos, Lilia Cedillo, Humberto A. Salazar-Ibarguen

Because there is a rapidly emerging risk that essential supply chains could collapse during the COVID-19 pandemic, new strategies are urgently needed by governments to protect workers regardless of whether or not they have symptoms. We propose a “stochastic filtrate” of such workers to reduce the risk of physical interactions with workers infected with SARS-CoV-2. Here, we suggest the random real-time-RT-PCR test of SARS-CoV-2 as a filtrating agent, although other more useful tests developed in the future to detect SARS-CoV-2 could also be used instead. Such a focused strategy, when combined with other preventive measures, could be successfully replicated in many countries to reactivate the world's economy safely. Our stochastic filtrate concept includes a mathematical framework and conceptual model. The simulations of this stochastic filtrate process support its viability.

2020

Complex Systems, social physics, stochastic processes, epidemic control, collective phenomena, stochastic filtrate

10.3389/fphy.2020.00371

Epidemiology and Health

Korean Society of Epidemiology

Physics