https://www.socictopen.socict.org/files/original/09fbf47f986aba739133b3b1eda5111d.pdf 9e8c8bfa645853b7c8d61488a7cbf5df Dublin Core The Dublin Core metadata element set is common to all Omeka records, including items, files, and collections. For more information see, http://dublincore.org/documents/dces/. Title A name given to the resource Coronavirus Description An account of the resource Dominio científico: Coronavirus Text A resource consisting primarily of words for reading. Examples include books, letters, dissertations, poems, newspapers, articles, archives of mailing lists. Note that facsimiles or images of texts are still of the genre Text. Dublin Core The Dublin Core metadata element set is common to all Omeka records, including items, files, and collections. For more information see, http://dublincore.org/documents/dces/. Title A name given to the resource Estimation of Infection Rate and Predictions of Disease Spreading Based on Initial Individuals Infected With COVID-19 Creator An entity primarily responsible for making the resource Seo Yoon Chae, KyoungEun Lee, KyoungEun Lee, Hyun Min Lee, Nam Jung, Quang Anh Le, Biseko Juma Mafwele, Tae Ho Lee, Doo Hwan Kim, Jae Woo Lee, Jae Woo Lee, Jae Woo Lee Description An account of the resource We consider the pandemic spread of COVID-19 in selected countries after the outbreak of the SARS-CoV-2 coronavirus in Wuhan City, China. We estimated the infection rate and the initial individuals infected with COVID-19 by using officially reported data from the early stages of the epidemic for a model of susceptible (S), infectible (I), quarantined (Q), and officially confirmed recovered (Rk) populations (the so-called SIQRk model). In the officially reported data, we know the number of quarantined cases and the officially reported number of recovered cases. We cannot know about recovered cases from asymptomatic patients. In the SIQRk model, we can estimate the parameters and the initial infections (confirmed cases + asymptomatic cases) from fitted values. We obtained an infection rate in the range β = 0.233 ~ 0.462, a basic reproduction number of Ro = 1.8 ~ 3.5, and the initial number of infected individuals, I (0) = 10 ~ 8409, for selected countries. By using fitting parameters, we estimated that the maximum time span of the infection was around 50 days in Germany when the government invoked the quarantine policy. The disease is expected to subside about 6 months after the first patients are found. Date A point or period of time associated with an event in the lifecycle of the resource 2020 Subject The topic of the resource quarantine, Asymptomatic, coronavirus 2019-ncov, Epidemic model, SIR (Susceptible Infected-Recovered) model Identifier An unambiguous reference to the resource within a given context 10.3389/fphy.2020.00311 Source A related resource from which the described resource is derived Epidemiology and Health Publisher An entity responsible for making the resource available Korean Society of Epidemiology Coverage The spatial or temporal topic of the resource, the spatial applicability of the resource, or the jurisdiction under which the resource is relevant Physics