Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 Transmission Potential, Iran, 2020
Viruses, covid-19, SARS-CoV-2, severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2, coronavirus disease, 2019 novel coronavirus disease
To determine the transmission potential of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 in Iran in 2020, we estimated the reproduction number as 4.4 (95% CI 3.9–4.9) by using a generalized growth model and 3.5 (95% CI 1.3–8.1) by using epidemic doubling time. The reproduction number decreased to 1.55 after social distancing interventions were implemented.
Kamalich Muniz-Rodriguez, Isaac Chun-Hai Fung, Shayesteh R. Ferdosi, Sylvia K. Ofori, Yiseul Lee, Amna Tariq, Gerardo Chowell
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
Medicine, Infectious and parasitic diseases